Thanks, Russia!

As the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq dragged on, it seemed to me that these wars were having a negative effect on the US military’s strategy. You would constantly hear about how future wars would be against non-state actors such as international terrorist organizations. As such, the wars of the future would be all about UAVs and vehicles adapted to the threat of IEDs or mines, typical insurgent weapons. If you read between the lines, it really seemed as though they were saying: “This is the war we are fighting now, so all wars will be like this.”

As the US military adapted to asymmetric warfare, I wondered what would happen if it were to get in a conflict with a conventional army like that of Russia or China. For one thing, I figured the US would still manage to get air superiority, but it would be nothing like what they were used to. For the first time since maybe the Korean War, US military personnel would face the very real threat of aerial attack. After moving to Russia and learning about how pervasive some of the Russian military’s problems were even years after I’d first heard about them, it became clear that while the US and NATO forces would easily beat Russia in a stand-up fight, they would not do so easily. Having become so adapted to fighting poorly trained insurgents who fight with very rudimentary weapons, they’d be caught off guard by some of Russia’s capabilities in electronic warfare(EW), artillery, and air defense.

At least that was the case until recently, when Russia’s dipshit dictator decided to start flailing his arms around wildly in a pathetic attempt to make his country seem relevant after 15 years of plundering it and preventing it from reaching its real potential. Some of you have no doubt heard how NATO is taking advantage of Russia’s sabre-rattling in the Baltic region by observing the latter’s air patrols and military exercises. The frequent military activity has been leaking secrets and insights like a sieve, giving NATO planners plenty of data on Russia’s military capabilities, procedures, and plans. Now, American strategists have plenty of real data on which to retrain themselves on dealing with conventional powers.

Take this article, for example.  Candid US military personnel talk about how they were impressed by Russia’s electronic warfare capabilities, an insight gleaned from observing their tactics in Ukraine. Thanks to Putin, the US military has realized the error of its ways and is working hard to shore up its defenses based on the practical data they’ve acquired courtesy of Putin.

Wouldn’t it have been embarrassing if the US military found itself in a conflict facing these jamming capabilities, totally unprepared? How generous it is of Putin to piss away the only fleeting chance his military would ever have in a conflict with NATO, something he and his legion of vatniks so zealously desire! And with the sanctions and the worsening economy, Russia will have no chance of keeping pace with NATO when they develop measures to counter Russia’s current EW capabilities. Putin outfoxes them again!

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14 thoughts on “Thanks, Russia!

      1. Jim Kovpak Post author

        I don’t believe that dirty bomb stuff for a second. The people they’d need to help them in that effort would be smart enough to explain to them why a dirty bomb is a stupid idea. It is still a speculative weapon.

  1. Strykr9

    I think the seizure of Crimea has to do with Russia’s military and strategic plans. Crimea could house those new “Black Hole” diesel submarines that would be quite deadly to any surface warships in the Black Sea and it’s airfields would be perfect for Russia’s new(and old) strike fighters like the Su-34s and Su-24s. Combine that with the fact that Crimea itself has already been outfitted with anti-ship systems and possibly S-400 systems, it could become a major base that Russia may use to control the Black Sea. I do not understand the manufactured “rebellions” in the South East however. What purpose do they serve besides possible destabilisation?

    Reply
    1. Jim Kovpak Post author

      Actually it was foolish for them to want to maintain that base. NATO could easily send the fleet to the bottom if it wanted to. By comparison, the naval base under construction at Novorossisk is much better and far more secure.

      Reply
      1. Shalcker

        Except it has generally unfavourable geography – constant extreme winds at certain parts of year, extremely open space, no natural protection from storms…

  2. Shalcker

    The article would be perfect Russian propaganda fodder for something like InoSmi.

    Because essentially it says – “Hey, America cannot match Russian EWar capabilities at all, and their nearest plans are to get something close developed in 2023 and deployed by 2027″…

    More then a decade… during which Russian development will not be stopping either. Perfect chance to claim unbridgeable gap and technical superiority!

    Reply
      1. Shalcker

        Well, what is your alternative take from the article? 🙂

        Clearly they want more funding so that they can match or exceed Russian capabilities and speed up existing programs (timeline for which I quoted).

        Still, if you want to have jam-resistant military rather then “fully interconnected military” a lot of current assumptions would have to be re-evaluated, and a lot of current systems overhauled. That’s billions of dollars of extra expenses; expenses that might or might not get approved in the end.

        And this “look at capabilities of other side” is two-way – remember those two US counter-mortar radars captured in Debaltsevo? …they even mention counter-mortar radars in this article, just forget to note some of them being captured by rebels…

      2. Asehpe

        That they weren’t paying attention to a threat, and now they are?

        There is nothing here about their true capacity and level, ony about their paying or not paying attention to Russia on it. Plus the idea that Russia would be better off if NATO and others went on not knowing about their own capacity. Which is no longer the case.

        Hmmm… But I’d still prefer Russians to think what you said. So, on second thoughts, forget what I just wrote. 😉

      3. Shalcker

        Looking at a few more articles they were not paying much attention to EWar period…

        Some upgrades here and there, most of new things in fairly long-term plans and with limited funding, and in even technically new stuff a lot of old things get re-used instead of re-evaluating options/threats and new element base…

        Yes, they try to pay more attention now (as in literally starting to seriously look at it this year and running enquiries), and there seem to be positive signs in direction of “doing something”, but nothing particularly ground-breaking short-term.

        And no, Russia would be no better off having it hidden. Best option is when adversary recognizes your capability and tries to match rather then trying to appear that you have no capability and they have total advantage. War deterrents are better then things that actually win wars; best war is war not happening.

        And considering how much would need to change to remove entrenched GPS reliance plus military budget sequestration, that will not be an easy task…

  3. Shalcker

    And i suspect it’s the kind of warfare where sword (disruption) will be always mightier then shield (reliable communications between various systems).

    Reply
    1. Shalcker

      Because hey, with GPS spoofing missiles that rely on it might as well be shot randomly; and drones that rely on it to return will land wherever the spoofer wants.

      Reply

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